Research Center

Vietnam Macro Q3 Updates & 2023 Outlook

11/10/2022

Share:

VIETNAM’S GDP RISES BY 13.67% IN Q3

  • Industrial production increased by over 12%yoy. PMI slightly declined compared to August, to 52.5.
  • Gross domestic demand continued to show resilience. The total gross retail sales of consumer goods and services increased by 21% yoy in the first 9 months of the year.
  • Export turnover increased by 17.3% yoy, reaching 282.52 billion USD in the first 9 months of the year.
  • FDI inflow maintained but at a slower pace.
  • The 9-month average CPI increased by 2.73% y-o-y.

2023 VIETNAM’S ECONOMIC OUTLOOK

GTJAS Vietnam believe that Vietnam’s economy in 2023 will witness a solid growth, backed by:

  • A resilient FDI inflow into Vietnam, especially into new sectors (technology, energy, semiconductor, etc)
  • Strong domestic consumption. Meanwhile, the international arrivals is expected to recover to 30%-35% the pre-pandemic level at the end of 2022 and 50%-60% the pre-pandemic level in 2023;
  • The fiscal budget for Public Investment still stays, which will be an important driver to offset the worse view of Exports that may be affected by the global economic downturn in the short to medium term.

GTJA FORECAST

 

2022 Base case

2023 Base case

GDP Growth

%

7.2

6.5

Inflation

%

3.8

4.5

 

Danh sách báo cáo liên quan

(EN) GTHTVN_Macro Report_Vietnam Macro Statistics & Key highlights tháng 8.2026_15.09.2026

15/09/2026

Vietnam Macro Update – August 2026 and Key Highlights Key highlights: Industrial production remained the economy’s key growth engine. In August,...

(EN) GTJASVN_Macro Report_Vietnam Macro Statistics & Key highlights Jul 2026_17.08.2026

18/08/2026

(EN) GTJASVN_Macro Report_Vietnam Macro Statistics & Key highlights Jul 2026_17.08.2026 Key highlights: Industrial production continued to be the...

(EN) GTHTSVN_Macro Note_Update on Section 301 Additional Tariffs_29.07.2026

30/07/2026

(EN) GTHTSVN_Macro Note_Update on Section 301 Additional Tariffs_29.07.2026 Update on US’s Section 301 Additional Tariffs On July 24, 2026 (Vietnam Time),...

Contact

    For compliance information, please contact:

    [email protected]

    • Stock index